Australian A League · resolved market
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f36b6c8ab1480f776cd9f183f9fe086bfdf8261ad7cb1288f4612513fab53bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked No | 45c | 1,649$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,432$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 274.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 203.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 52c | 110.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked No | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Yes | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 50c | 21.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Yes | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…81cbbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Central Coast Mariners FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.