TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdab0…2fe9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST4459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$356.78
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$286.14
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+79.5%+$238.39
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$133.05
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$177.29
1H Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$191.42
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+48.9%+$488.76
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.3%+$484.98
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.1%+$99.75
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+98.8%+$395.03
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$200
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$254.16
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$635.65
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+50.3%+$554.49
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$145.58
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Bucks (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$232.32
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+46.4%+$92.74
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bulls vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST3865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Academy vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+32.3%+$64.63
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$565
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+66%+$263.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$470.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+59.3%+$170.96
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$184.93
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$171.77
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$272.92
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.9%+$369.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+45.7%+$163.2
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+43.9%+$219.35
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+57%+$199.66
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100.6%+$352.21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.14
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.5%+$256.36
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.39
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$60.44
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$147.76
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.4%+$105.84
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,027.33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$340.74
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+98%+$392.16
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+79.4%+$404.4
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.5%+$161.8
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+70.1%+$565.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+34.7%+$256.28
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$252.87
Dota 2: Heroic vs OG (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$356.78
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$438.75
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+60.8%+$405.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$334.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.6%+$193.72
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$346.93
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$28.81
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$93.17
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$262
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$448.66
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.2%+$524.82
Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$302.73
Swansea City AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.24
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$125.88
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$64.71
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200.53
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$32.62
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$482
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$189.63
Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$337.77
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+34.7%+$77.99
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$307.46
Brentford vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150.52
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$213.18
Flyers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$197.14
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+32.8%+$204.27
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$150.81
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+111.1%+$251.6
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.36
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Oilers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.8%+$78.8
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$246.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$305.53
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$115.24
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$72.92
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$89.61
Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+39.4%+$115.57
Elche CF vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+76.9%+$23.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Boston College vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34.98
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Spread: Kansas State (-17.5)backed Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+41.6%+$154.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Chattanooga Mocs vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$547.6
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+60.9%+$197.93
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$313
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$174.63
All 5 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$427.67
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$969.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$88.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$627.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$267.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$170.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$164.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.