Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e8e7d82aa5125dbb0dd0b80efc848e0d4c8c1c4bf8386a4f2fb365d1650f4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 2,978$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.94 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 31c | 2,943$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.69 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Tidebound | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 41c | 904.02$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.96 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 760.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex | 26c | 760$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.8 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 755$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Yandex | 51c | 660.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Tidebound | 55c | 644$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 515.15$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Yandex | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Tidebound | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Tidebound | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 173.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex | 68c | 164.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Tidebound | 34c | 153.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Tidebound | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex | 16c | 96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7b…b6cbbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 54.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Tidebound | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Yandex | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Yandex | 56c | 28.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…0a93backed Team Tidebound | 62c | 17.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.