Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2372f10ae4f8207c7424561a8602636a16374338800e76aad91cfdf1da50aada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof Team Yandex, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 46c | 4,955$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 58c | 3,933$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.51 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 2,841$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.61 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Tidebound | 39c | 2,550$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.4 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 50c | 2,373$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Yandex | 64c | 2,115$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.91 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,840$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.33 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,329$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.44 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,016$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.84 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Tidebound | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Tidebound | 67c | 1,000$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Tidebound | 49c | 971.45$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.07 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Tidebound | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…f676backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 579.24$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…d549backed Team Tidebound | 57c | 561.19$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…4629backed Team Tidebound | 70c | 550$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Team Yandex | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Yandex | 63c | 473.02$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Tidebound | 51c | 392.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Tidebound | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex | 60c | 329.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Team Tidebound | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Tidebound | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Yandex | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Yandex | 17c | 296.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Yandex | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Team Tidebound | 60c | 152.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Team Tidebound | 72c | 129.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Tidebound | 56c | 122.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Team Tidebound | 56c | 120.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Tidebound | 11c | 110$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex | 53c | 107.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Team Yandex | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Yandex | 38c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Tidebound | 51c | 93.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Tidebound | 64c | 93.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Yandex | 46c | 85.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Tidebound | 69c | 82.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Yandex | 36c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Team Tidebound | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Team Tidebound | 38c | 66.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 66.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Team Yandex | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…47fdbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 52.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Yandex | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Yandex | 51c | 45.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Tidebound | 49c | 44.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Team Tidebound | 80c | 39.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…fcb9backed Team Yandex | 64c | 38.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Team Yandex | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Yandex | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…8459backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Team Yandex | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO3)Team Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.