Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1d0560137c5c3eb2685248d1d117204f3fae89e2bacdfe83d3ca867d3c41ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Shopify Rebellion Gold, MIBR Female
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked MIBR Female | 35c | 1,501$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.96 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MIBR Female | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 70c | 1,336$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.41 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MIBR Female | 29c | 1,100$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 1,086$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.57 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 60c | 800.01$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.57 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 25c | 335.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.57 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed MIBR Female | 35c | 310.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 65c | 309.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed MIBR Female | 75c | 300$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR Female | 35c | 293.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MIBR Female | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -14.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MIBR Female | 36c | 175.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MIBR Female | 48c | 82.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 64c | 80.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR Female | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…7a21backed MIBR Female | 57c | 39.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed MIBR Female | 61c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)Shopify Rebellion Gold won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Female won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 3 WinnerShopify Rebellion Gold won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.