Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28927aadf9df014550724d47caa84f8227631882e537440d2968c58f91f09957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Shopify Rebellion Gold, MIBR Female
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked MIBR Female | 65c | 1,900$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MIBR Female | 34c | 1,642$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.1 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 63c | 1,618$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.36 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR Female | 37c | 1,253$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 930.05$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.18 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 56c | 579.08$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked MIBR Female | 4c | 544.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MIBR Female | 36c | 490.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 71c | 274.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MIBR Female | 27c | 235.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MIBR Female | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 35c | 220$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 35c | 198$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed MIBR Female | 36c | 137.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked MIBR Female | 52c | 124.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 54c | 118.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 43c | 93.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed MIBR Female | 42c | 93.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 59c | 83.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked MIBR Female | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed MIBR Female | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…d189backed MIBR Female | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed MIBR Female | 59c | 40.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed MIBR Female | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…8ca1backed MIBR Female | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 60c | 33.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)Shopify Rebellion Gold won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Gold won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Female won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.