TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ed0…b051

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
220
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST4443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Flyers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Blue Jackets vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.79
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$45.08
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.26
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.64
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Capitals vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.1%+$6.9
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.1
Spread: Predators (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29%+$4.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST4161%25 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.3
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+70.2%+$33
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$56.4
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$109.64
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Eagles vs. Commanders: 1H Moneylinebacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.82
Spread: LAR (-9.5)backed LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$24.18
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$60.5
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$37.8
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+79.9%+$66.6
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.9%+$16.2
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.56
Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utahbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+122.8%+$99.2
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$48.19
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.3
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+82.6%+$18.1
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: BYU (-5.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Spread: Pittsburgh (-13.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+64.3%+$31.3
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+485.4%+$477.72
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Spread: Louisville (-8.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Toledo vs. Louisville: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.2
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Spread: Oregon (-7.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+80.2%+$17.8
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.8
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+473.1%+$165.1
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$17.2
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$38.3
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.86
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+205.3%+$406.55
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+159.7%+$738
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$255
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$536.36
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.32
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,044.04
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+108.4%+$543.71
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.54
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$18.95
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$43.06
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.97
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$50.66
Marlins vs. Rangersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$50.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO1)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO1)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+189.9%+$52.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$13.15
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+300%+$78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs HOTU (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.68
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.1%+$73.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$438
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+30.7%+$4.7
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$24.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+76.5%+$26
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+109.7%+$42.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.