NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe282379cc10a0381b323fb58581002c7557fa57577ae396440bae187aa8493af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 11,992$5,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 55c | 9,054$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Over | 1c | 2,401$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 1,406$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 1,073$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.88 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 636$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 500.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.35 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 46c | 432.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Over | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 181.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 173.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked Over | 55c | 149.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Over | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…f78abacked Over | 54c | 43.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 45c | 31.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 25.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…d006backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5this page
- Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.