NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1d3aa30f34661a306facbaea319af60aca2b4cf67dc72613b7e166eeb14a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 32,724$16,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,362.2 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 50c | 31,133$15,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,641.85 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 18,747$9,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,529.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,027.13 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 50c | 6,944$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.99 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 4,478$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.93 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.97 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 3,334$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.22 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Over | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 50c | 2,982$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 2,400$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Over | 50c | 2,295$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.47 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 20c | 1,561$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.47 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 51c | 1,560$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.57 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 1,554$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.54 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.28 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 50c | 1,372$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.84 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Over | 47c | 1,126$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.66 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 45c | 1,050$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Under | 49c | 1,004$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,003$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Under | 52c | 962.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.58 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 956.48$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 52c | 923.08$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Over | 51c | 790$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.9 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 49c | 745.05$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Under | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 672.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.06 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Under | 59c | 655$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 49c | 592.24$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Over | 50c | 512$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.88 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…8411backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 398.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 52c | 348.04$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 52c | 300.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 276.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 12c | 228.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 44.3%133 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 50c | 199.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7256backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 52c | 190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 50c | 170.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 149.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 75c | 135.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 51c | 129.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 59c | 127.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 30c | 116.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 51c | 116.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under | 49c | 108.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b651backed Over | 50c | 102.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Over | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked Under | 50c | 100.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…9eccbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…61ddbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 50c | 84.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Under | 60c | 82.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…45e0backed Under | 49c | 44.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Over | 49c | 42.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5this page
- Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.