TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fe4…ff5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,155.95
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.84
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.68
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+101%+$47.08
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$46.74
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.11
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.98
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$48.41
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.61
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.08
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$55.15
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.43
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$19.72
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$40.13
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+197.1%+$118.24
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$42.56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$40.66
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.91
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.85
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.6
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.66
Nationals vs. Marinersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+93.7%+$10.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.99
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.04
Lynx vs Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.14
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.9
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Buccaneers (-0.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.86
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.