NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a994d424b033f4dbf9883d396b9c19ddf12f3bd08b2137e18ae9392e47e71b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pacers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,990,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,379,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,990,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 863 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a21…ac9cbacked Pacers | 23c | 275,366$62,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,208.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers | 21c | 243,782$52,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,039.3 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 77c | 230,130$177,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,381.28 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers | 23c | 184,747$42,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,054.85 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 77c | 184,680$142,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,714.06 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Pacers | 23c | 182,352$41,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,431.02 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 77c | 180,000$138,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,399.97 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 77c | 149,999$115,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,499.84 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 77c | 148,878$114,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,400.38 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Thunder | 78c | 115,645$90,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,441.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Thunder | 79c | 108,761$86,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,404.18 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 16c | 108,238$17,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,330.1 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Pacers | 23c | 105,104$24,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,494.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Thunder | 77c | 102,300$78,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,528.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Pacers | 22c | 93,908$20,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,553.49 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Pacers | 20c | 92,625$18,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,422.92 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers | 4c | 78,061$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.34 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers | 15c | 65,086$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.5 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…b648backed Pacers | 23c | 63,565$14,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,619.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 77c | 60,448$46,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,679.61 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers | 14c | 52,082$7,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,469.06 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Thunder | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pacers | 18c | 47,735$8,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,729.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 78c | 45,000$34,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,099.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 77c | 44,444$34,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222.05 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Thunder | 78c | 43,471$33,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,540.19 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 80c | 43,338$34,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,711.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Thunder | 77c | 42,558$32,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,960.2 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 78c | 37,153$28,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,263.06 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 78c | 35,774$27,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,993.86 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 23c | 33,941$7,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,845.9 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 78c | 32,500$25,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 79c | 30,000$23,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,230.45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Pacers | 23c | 26,400$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 77c | 26,149$20,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.36 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Thunder | 78c | 26,000$20,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Thunder | 78c | 25,241$19,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Thunder | 78c | 25,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Thunder | 77c | 20,550$15,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers | 21c | 20,121$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Pacers | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Pacers | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 24c | 17,002$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.15 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Thunder | 77c | 16,704$12,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Pacers | 22c | 16,405$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.21 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pacers | 8c | 14,872$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.62 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…ab25backed Pacers | 14c | 14,195$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Thunder | 77c | 13,349$10,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.26 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…962abacked Pacers | 21c | 13,126$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 76c | 12,000$9,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Pacers | 13c | 11,900$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.01 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 77c | 11,889$9,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Pacers | 23c | 10,316$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.88 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Thunder | 77c | 10,173$7,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.12 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers | 23c | 10,022$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Pacers | 22c | 10,000$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked Thunder | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Thunder | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.97 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked Pacers | 23c | 9,800$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Thunder | 78c | 9,615$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.38 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 79c | 9,513$7,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Pacers | 23c | 9,455$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Pacers | 12c | 9,389$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.03 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Thunder | 77c | 9,292$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Pacers | 23c | 9,282$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.86 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Pacers | 14c | 8,987$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Pacers | 17c | 8,732$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Thunder | 78c | 8,722$6,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.45 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pacers | 21c | 8,417$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.63 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Pacers | 12c | 8,302$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.23 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Pacers | 18c | 7,777$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.63 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Thunder | 77c | 7,259$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 77c | 7,200$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Pacers | 23c | 7,174$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Pacers | 20c | 6,884$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 9c | 6,734$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.34 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Thunder | 77c | 6,000$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 77c | 5,943$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 77c | 5,821$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Pacers | 18c | 5,727$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Thunder | 77c | 5,652$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.38 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Pacers | 14c | 5,607$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.89 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…e453backed Thunder | 78c | 5,536$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Pacers | 23c | 5,473$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.84 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…85fabacked Pacers | 19c | 5,302$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Thunder | 77c | 5,194$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.62 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Thunder | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Thunder | 76c | 5,110$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 22c | 5,100$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…c749backed Pacers | 23c | 5,009$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Thunder | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…ca3cbacked Pacers | 16c | 5,000$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pacers | 20c | 4,896$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pacers | 24c | 4,810$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.43 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…5bf1backed Pacers | 4c | 4,535$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Pacers | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Pacers | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Thunderthis page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.