NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1360cf66811928dc8bebd99e45ae647c71ccebe435a1ce286e8f3303b078097c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 49c | 52,545$25,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,797.91 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 51c | 45,885$23,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,512.06 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Pacers | 51c | 26,400$13,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,464 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pacers | 52c | 24,238$12,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,603.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 48c | 23,869$11,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,412.08 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Thunder | 49c | 8,000$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 48c | 7,528$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.55 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 47c | 4,734$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.85 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 55c | 4,499$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.42 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 51c | 4,425$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.97 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed Thunder | 50c | 4,327$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Pacers | 50c | 4,220$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 49c | 4,110$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.32 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…2a3ebacked Pacers | 52c | 2,625$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Pacers | 52c | 1,999$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.23 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Pacers | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Thunder | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.87 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pacers | 50c | 1,680$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pacers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Pacers | 35c | 1,477$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.08 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Thunder | 49c | 1,208$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.99 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Pacers | 51c | 1,088$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,075$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.1 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Pacers | 52c | 997.75$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Thunder | 49c | 890$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Thunder | 50c | 792.42$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 55c | 747.61$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 49c | 732$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Thunder | 49c | 717.35$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Pacers | 53c | 700$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Thunder | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Pacers | 51c | 580$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 48c | 525.24$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.12 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Thunder | 48c | 518.87$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Pacers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Pacers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Pacers | 48c | 413.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Thunder | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Pacers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Pacers | 52c | 393.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Pacers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Thunder | 49c | 390.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 48c | 382.09$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Pacers | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Pacers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Pacers | 40c | 287.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pacers | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Thunder | 49c | 270$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…f011backed Pacers | 40c | 257.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Thunder | 60c | 257.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Pacers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Pacers | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pacers | 12c | 202.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Pacers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Pacers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Thunder | 48c | 194.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pacers | 52c | 193.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…d611backed Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Thunder | 59c | 176$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Pacers | 45c | 173$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Pacers | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Pacers | 49c | 144$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Pacers | 52c | 126.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Thunder | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…0837backed Thunder | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Thunder | 56c | 122$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Pacers | 45c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Pacers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…bfa4backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Thunder | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…3488backed Pacers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d0…6b56backed Pacers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Thunder | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…6c2fbacked Thunder | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Thunder | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pacers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Pacers | 22c | 76.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…5eaabacked Pacers | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Thunder | 62c | 54.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Thunder | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Thunder | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…94e9backed Pacers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Pacers | 54c | 45.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Thunder | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Pacers | 61c | 43.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Thunder | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Thunder | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…6e49backed Thunder | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pacers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.