TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9292…2cd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+760.9%+$229.8
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51.27
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$76.7
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$859.32
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+816%+$1,019.95
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.19
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will the Vikings win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+59.9%+$32.94
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+81.5%+$54.9
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$21
Chargers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.49
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$226.12
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$134.56
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$95.4
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$42.09
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$29.17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+110.3%+$1,050.28
NBA Playoffs: Will a #1 seed win the Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$170.15
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$45.1
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$20.21
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$469.59
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.4
Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 25 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$125.12
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$131.2
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+142.7%+$88.2
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$144.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,531Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+46%+$1,163.28
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+26.3%+$258.43
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$47.6
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$681.87
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$35.25
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$172.01
No Opensea token launch by July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+117.9%+$23.58
OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$892.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Will Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$75
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the best regular season record in the MLB?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 3backed Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.63
TikTok sale announced before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross between $16-19m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+27.5%+$34.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lighter dip to $1.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$78.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.