MLB · resolved market
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3106f70b83836822ee79e30ae959597b480346417da3ea4114d4589aec7f597c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 7,886$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.9 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 14c | 6,038$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.81 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 19c | 5,571$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 15c | 4,750$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.44 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed Yes | 15c | 3,352$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…3542backed Yes | 8c | 3,197$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 27c | 2,022$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.64 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 19c | 1,869$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 5c | 1,761$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 6c | 1,680$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 9c | 1,668$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 14c | 1,666$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Yes | 13c | 987.94$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 16c | 979$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 11c | 710.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 650$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Yes | 26c | 650$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…5380backed Yes | 15c | 646$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…a1f3backed Yes | 16c | 629$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Yes | 10c | 578.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 12c | 526.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 15c | 523.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 15c | 518.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…95a9backed Yes | 14c | 511$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…a55ebacked Yes | 16c | 511$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 27c | 500$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 12c | 487.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…f42dbacked Yes | 15c | 484$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…0462backed Yes | 16c | 450$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…97d7backed Yes | 16c | 448$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043a…9685backed Yes | 16c | 446$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…0e1ebacked Yes | 16c | 444$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd9…fb6cbacked Yes | 15c | 437$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 6c | 418.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Yes | 30c | 401.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 26c | 401.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ba7dbacked Yes | 14c | 388$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f0…a569backed Yes | 15c | 386$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…2f8cbacked Yes | 14c | 379$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 28c | 355.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…8ddcbacked Yes | 14c | 352$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…58b0backed Yes | 15c | 349$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…8d0ebacked Yes | 16c | 349$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…b7e7backed Yes | 16c | 348$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 347.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 17c | 338.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d5…e35ebacked Yes | 14c | 338$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…387abacked Yes | 16c | 332$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…be7abacked Yes | 12c | 325$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…dec2backed Yes | 14c | 305$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…298dbacked Yes | 15c | 291$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 12c | 286.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9d…f4e7backed Yes | 15c | 286$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 283.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd0…2985backed Yes | 15c | 283$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…b17cbacked Yes | 16c | 268$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…c0b3backed Yes | 16c | 267$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5e…25e0backed Yes | 15c | 266$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2507…69d2backed Yes | 14c | 254$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…9b17backed Yes | 15c | 245.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…a98dbacked Yes | 5c | 241$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…7e20backed Yes | 16c | 234$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 14c | 223.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…65cdbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf522…6712backed Yes | 15c | 213$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f78…4629backed Yes | 14c | 211$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…13f6backed Yes | 6c | 191$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 16c | 185.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Yes | 14c | 182.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…e3f1backed Yes | 15c | 179$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…6e3ebacked Yes | 15c | 179$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…ffb7backed Yes | 15c | 175$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de8…a6d5backed Yes | 15c | 165$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…5786backed Yes | 25c | 162.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…9f36backed Yes | 15c | 161$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…599abacked Yes | 15c | 154$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…d1c3backed Yes | 14c | 149$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…75b3backed Yes | 16c | 141$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…5a52backed Yes | 16c | 139$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…a9cbbacked Yes | 16c | 137$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…c191backed Yes | 12c | 137$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…9c1fbacked Yes | 16c | 137$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…7ec5backed Yes | 16c | 136$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Yes | 30c | 135.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…78e6backed Yes | 14c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707d…4dfabacked Yes | 17c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…eba1backed Yes | 14c | 133$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…10bdbacked Yes | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2e87backed Yes | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5b…c752backed Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde86…5ab4backed Yes | 16c | 121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…6e78backed Yes | 15c | 119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0490backed Yes | 17c | 119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe448…7966backed Yes | 15c | 117$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…85f9backed Yes | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b27…8818backed Yes | 15c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…37d2backed Yes | 14c | 112$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…99e0backed Yes | 15c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?this page
- Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes won
- Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the New York Mets win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.