TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7b0…9fb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2540%10 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+455.6%+$55.52
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+217%+$542.4
Will the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+811.3%+$3,245.18
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+426.3%+$852.63
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Patriots vs. Buccaneers: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+123.6%+$618.09
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$165.13
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+107.9%+$755.03
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$1,350.67
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.2
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$290.64
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.42
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$410
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$785.11
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$201.42
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+212.5%+$612
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)backed SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$530
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+284.9%+$370.1
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.78
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$839.12
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$185.37
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$272.4
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$176
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$770
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$433.33
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$430.69
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.9%+$237.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.