NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1d90605fe7f4cbab6864091215a4108f79dc5609a06dd90ab552c88e52450e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Cowboys, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,235,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,309,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,235,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 844 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Broncos | 66c | 1,547,899$1,014,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533,764.15 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 34c | 727,726$245,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,792.89 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cowboys | 36c | 270,858$96,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,431.31 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cowboys | 34c | 250,000$83,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,750 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cowboys | 34c | 206,361$69,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,743.81 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Broncos | 63c | 160,193$101,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,663.52 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cowboys | 34c | 150,000$51,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,250 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cowboys | 34c | 129,718$44,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,104.28 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 65c | 110,463$71,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,162.49 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Cowboys | 37c | 90,000$33,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,299.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Cowboys | 33c | 82,164$27,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,481.4 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cowboys | 35c | 70,500$24,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,675 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 38c | 60,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.93 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Broncos | 76c | 59,364$45,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,341.99 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Broncos | 64c | 53,531$34,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,271.11 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Cowboys | 35c | 43,502$15,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,225.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Broncos | 63c | 42,136$26,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,731.86 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 36c | 37,728$13,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,537.28 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Broncos | 60c | 34,404$20,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,807.15 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Broncos | 66c | 31,881$21,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,839.45 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cowboys | 35c | 31,370$10,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,979.5 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Broncos | 65c | 29,035$18,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.94 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Cowboys | 43c | 28,572$12,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,252.92 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys | 35c | 28,571$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Cowboys | 0c | 27,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 38c | 26,846$10,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,139.94 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cowboys | 33c | 25,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 72c | 23,396$16,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579.74 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cowboys | 33c | 20,600$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,755.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cowboys | 1c | 20,536$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 62c | 19,640$12,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,463.2 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Broncos | 65c | 18,996$12,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Cowboys | 0c | 18,143$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Broncos | 66c | 18,039$11,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.09 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Broncos | 60c | 15,693$9,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Cowboys | 37c | 15,627$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.16 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Broncos | 62c | 15,190$9,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.16 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Broncos | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Broncos | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Broncos | 66c | 12,753$8,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.14 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cowboys | 35c | 11,429$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cowboys | 34c | 10,700$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Cowboys | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Broncos | 76c | 9,307$7,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Broncos | 69c | 9,192$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.86 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Broncos | 61c | 8,673$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.33 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Broncos | 78c | 7,641$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…92e7backed Broncos | 62c | 7,517$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…0bedbacked Cowboys | 38c | 7,509$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Broncos | 58c | 7,251$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Cowboys | 35c | 7,071$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Cowboys | 11c | 6,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cowboys | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cowboys | 2c | 5,965$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Cowboys | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Cowboys | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Broncos | 68c | 5,415$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.59 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Cowboys | 2c | 5,354$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Cowboys | 35c | 5,318$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.23 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Broncos | 62c | 5,047$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.21 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Cowboys | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Broncos | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cowboys | 34c | 4,962$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.08 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Broncos | 59c | 4,900$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.71 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cowboys | 0c | 4,806$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Broncos | 63c | 4,751$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.81 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cowboys | 34c | 4,500$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 62c | 4,500$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Broncos | 63c | 4,384$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.3 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Broncos | 75c | 4,347$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.93 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Broncos | 58c | 4,283$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.1 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Broncos | 60c | 4,247$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.94 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Broncos | 54c | 4,144$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cowboys | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Broncos | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Cowboys | 35c | 3,933$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.75 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Cowboys | 35c | 3,917$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Cowboys | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Broncos | 66c | 3,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos | 62c | 3,182$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.27 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Broncos | 75c | 3,127$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.93 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Cowboys | 35c | 3,100$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Cowboys | 39c | 3,100$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0a…2f94backed Cowboys | 21c | 3,064$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Cowboys | 38c | 2,804$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.11 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys | 33c | 2,778$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.14 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Cowboys | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Cowboys | 10c | 2,750$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Cowboys | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…8334backed Cowboys | 36c | 2,431$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.02 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Cowboys | 38c | 2,301$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Cowboys | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cowboys | 37c | 2,250$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.59 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cowboys | 35c | 2,207$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.33 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Cowboys | 38c | 2,139$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.9 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…aaa3backed Cowboys | 10c | 2,087$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…0eadbacked Cowboys | 16c | 2,063$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Broncos | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Cowboys | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Cowboys | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Broncosthis page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 47.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 49.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.