NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x023807b73b184dea9464032c1ba50196956364e207aa314e28c57e864a91a989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Broncos | 51c | 117,502$59,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,575.75 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 54c | 113,006$60,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,934.14 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Broncos | 49c | 41,188$20,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,100.65 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Cowboys | 50c | 29,721$14,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,834.23 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Broncos | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Broncos | 50c | 14,397$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,237.79 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cowboys | 49c | 13,190$6,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.26 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Broncos | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cowboys | 49c | 9,687$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.81 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cowboys | 48c | 9,183$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.55 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Broncos | 50c | 8,014$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Cowboys | 51c | 7,850$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Broncos | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.1 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cowboys | 52c | 5,973$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.96 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 48c | 5,741$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.22 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Cowboys | 47c | 4,373$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.31 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 52c | 4,360$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.3 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Broncos | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.77 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Broncos | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Broncos | 46c | 3,985$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.6 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cowboys | 51c | 3,925$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.75 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos | 48c | 3,501$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.48 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cowboys | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Broncos | 52c | 2,216$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.66 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Cowboys | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cowboys | 50c | 1,772$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Broncos | 51c | 1,750$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.5 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Cowboys | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Cowboys | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Broncos | 1c | 1,461$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.39 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,075$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Broncos | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Cowboys | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cowboys | 51c | 906.49$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.77 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos | 51c | 821.65$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Broncos | 49c | 515$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Broncos | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Broncos | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cowboys | 9c | 405.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cowboys | 51c | 403.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Cowboys | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Broncos | 52c | 360.16$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Cowboys | 50c | 310.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Cowboys | 53c | 303.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cowboys | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Broncos | 52c | 286.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Cowboys | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Broncos | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.15 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Cowboys | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cowboys | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Broncos | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Broncos | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Cowboys | 54c | 204.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Cowboys | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Broncos | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Broncos | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cowboys | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Cowboys | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Broncos | 41c | 167.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Cowboys | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Broncos | 51c | 145.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cowboys | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Broncos | 49c | 135.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Cowboys | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Cowboys | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Broncos | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Broncos | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Broncos | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Cowboys | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Broncos | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861d…c6bfbacked Broncos | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Cowboys | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Cowboys | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Cowboys | 51c | 77.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…ab50backed Broncos | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cowboys | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Broncos | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Broncos | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…a2a1backed Cowboys | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Cowboys | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Broncos | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Cowboys | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…a394backed Broncos | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…6548backed Cowboys | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…e67abacked Broncos | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Broncos | 59c | 36.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 51c | 36.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…7b68backed Cowboys | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Broncos | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 131 | 65.6%86 W · 45 L | +17.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Broncos | 52c | 19.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- Cowboys vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 47.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 49.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Broncos: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.