TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cb8…76b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.84
Flames vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$49.54
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+131.9%+$50.12
Rangers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$65.21
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$46.4
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+133.5%+$32.05
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$36
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$178.36
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50.67
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.24
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$23.3
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.6%+$222.63
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$134.82
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$62.45
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$67.8
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$70.93
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$272.47
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$269.57
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$23.92
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$38
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$71.1
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+48.6%+$200.82
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$71.77
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$173.54
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$126.32
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$445
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$167.47
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$176.94
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$30.63
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.6
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$234.28
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.02
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$9.69
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$211.71
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$69.1
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$36.73
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$175.18
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$44.21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.47
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$428.12
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$516.88
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$416.86
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$432.35
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$433.41
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$408.33
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlandsbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$428.63
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$435
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$54.18
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.1%+$81.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.53
American vs. National: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.97
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canadabacked Puerto Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$438
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$32.57
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$23.33
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$97.5
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
UConn vs. Ricebacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Arkansas vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$23.33
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.8%+$16.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.