NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb351bac8b8b6152adc1977bda2b9a72000042285d52b933760331370d8af7a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Utah, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,014,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,039,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,014,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Utah | 41c | 149,693$61,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,783.68 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Utah | 42c | 72,000$30,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,240 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lightning | 59c | 48,896$28,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,047.36 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah | 40c | 42,514$17,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,018.01 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 59c | 26,768$15,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,974.88 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 60c | 25,214$15,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,085.44 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Lightning | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Utah | 41c | 24,000$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,840 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 60c | 17,874$10,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,102.79 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Lightning | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 61c | 16,000$9,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Lightning | 60c | 15,026$9,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.51 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Utah | 40c | 14,637$5,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,854.98 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Utah | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Lightning | 60c | 11,723$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.16 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Lightning | 58c | 11,645$6,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,891.02 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Lightning | 60c | 10,586$6,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.4 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Lightning | 58c | 10,575$6,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 58c | 10,060$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.77 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Lightning | 62c | 8,819$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.16 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Utah | 40c | 7,982$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Utah | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Lightning | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.96 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Utah | 41c | 6,341$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 60c | 6,056$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Utah | 40c | 6,015$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.92 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Utah | 32c | 6,001$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.13 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Lightning | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 76c | 5,204$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.42 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Utah | 21c | 5,172$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.79 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Lightning | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lightning | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Lightning | 58c | 4,553$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.26 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Lightning | 60c | 4,533$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.36 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Lightning | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 59c | 3,583$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.38 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Utah | 41c | 3,561$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Utah | 22c | 3,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 39c | 3,235$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 77c | 3,191$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.91 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Lightning | 60c | 2,760$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.62 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 59c | 2,634$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.35 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Utah | 42c | 2,619$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Utah | 38c | 2,619$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lightning | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Utah | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Lightning | 60c | 2,465$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.85 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 60c | 2,420$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.68 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Utah | 39c | 2,400$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Lightning | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lightning | 60c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Utah | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Utah | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 30c | 1,838$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.41 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…0bc4backed Utah | 41c | 1,830$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…3e52backed Utah | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Utah | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…fb70backed Lightning | 62c | 1,701$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Lightning | 61c | 1,628$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.92 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked Lightning | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Lightning | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…c71cbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,499$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…4658backed Utah | 38c | 1,499$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…38e0backed Lightning | 62c | 1,498$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…8b78backed Utah | 38c | 1,498$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…a096backed Utah | 38c | 1,497$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…73a0backed Utah | 38c | 1,497$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…030cbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,497$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…0071backed Lightning | 62c | 1,497$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…e5cbbacked Utah | 38c | 1,496$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…f20fbacked Utah | 38c | 1,496$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…735abacked Lightning | 62c | 1,496$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…3463backed Lightning | 62c | 1,496$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62b8…1bb2backed Lightning | 62c | 1,495$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…6424backed Lightning | 62c | 1,495$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc1…146dbacked Utah | 38c | 1,495$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579f…f7c4backed Utah | 38c | 1,495$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…3c67backed Utah | 38c | 1,492$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…f842backed Lightning | 62c | 1,492$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah | 16c | 1,491$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c4…0f14backed Utah | 38c | 1,491$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…c0a7backed Lightning | 62c | 1,491$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…7291backed Lightning | 62c | 1,491$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…606dbacked Utah | 38c | 1,491$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…e531backed Utah | 38c | 1,490$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…e1f1backed Lightning | 62c | 1,490$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2648…1009backed Lightning | 62c | 1,490$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…1637backed Utah | 38c | 1,490$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…aabcbacked Utah | 38c | 1,489$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…b3ffbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,488$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Lightningthis page
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Utah vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.