NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69b2f99f2cfb1303b5dbad8e9ac043884b29777c653620660ad02a4461a4907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 57c | 174,233$98,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,590.62 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 44c | 150,000$65,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,499.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 56c | 56,900$31,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,036 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 44c | 56,000$24,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,640 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 44c | 9,999$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.56 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 9,465$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 7,710$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 54c | 6,203$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.57 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 43c | 6,005$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.15 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb387…610bbacked Under | 53c | 5,780$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 4,712$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.86 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…1cc8backed Over | 47c | 3,590$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 58c | 3,136$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 2,569$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.38 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…7fbdbacked Over | 47c | 2,190$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 1,005$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.51 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 885$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.25 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 57c | 765.93$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 390.43$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Under | 53c | 377.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 56c | 362.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 45c | 342.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…01d9backed Under | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 46c | 291.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 210.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 53c | 170.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 46c | 165.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 56c | 160.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 158.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 55c | 156.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 131.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…b0d3backed Under | 58c | 117.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…19dcbacked Under | 55c | 111.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…b0cdbacked Under | 53c | 101.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 43c | 101.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131e…3343backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 58c | 86.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2786…8367backed Under | 58c | 83.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…9f88backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 58c | 69.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Under | 58c | 69.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 58c | 52.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 55c | 49.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 46c | 44.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 44.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…31d3backed Under | 58c | 43.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…b1aebacked Over | 45c | 41.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 56c | 40.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 45c | 37.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Over | 44c | 37.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 57c | 37.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 253 | 54.2%137 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 47c | 31.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 55c | 29.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 54c | 29.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 45c | 28.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Under | 58c | 28.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa118…e021backed Over | 45c | 27.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 46c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Utah vs. LightningLightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.