TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b0f…e949

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
339
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10046%46 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Spread: Bulls (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$39.85
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Bulls vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Mavericks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$28.76
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$35.48
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.1
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+30.1%+$28.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.57
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.41
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.37
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+110.9%+$16.22
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST5952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.44
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
American Eagles vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.56
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.03
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+109%+$20.28
Akron Zips vs. Troy Trojansbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.8
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-23.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$18.71
Spread: Campbell Fighting Camels (-4.5)backed Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.38
Denver Pioneers vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
Memphis Tigers vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$19.01
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$19.6
Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-11.5)backed Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.75
Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-13.5)backed Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+106.9%+$20.32
Fairfield Stags vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.83
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.07
Bruins vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$14.56
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.76
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.66
Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.06
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.84
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+46.5%+$12.6
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.08
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+99.3%+$10.51
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+55%+$31.25
Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.86
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.16
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+105.9%+$17.93
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.68
Canadiens vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Wild vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.89
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+310.7%+$76.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$25.25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.95
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$72.98
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.91
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.86
Will Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.08
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.03
Will PSV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$9.48
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.7
Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+147%+$19.06
Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+101.9%+$13.72
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$19.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+62.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$69.51
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$19.51
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.14
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$142.15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+223.2%+$157.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.51
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.1
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73.5%+$17.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$100.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+354.5%+$59.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.44
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.6%+$10.59
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$65.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$58.34
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.11
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.18
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+85.7%+$9.24
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.04
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$72.88
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.2
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Panathinaikós AO vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.19
Celtic FC vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31.37
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick68cpaid+41.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$12.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.48
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$24.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+32.2%+$5.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.07
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.4%+$14.88
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.1%+$6.63
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80.64
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.04
Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+122%+$35.73
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club León FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.92
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73.7%+$18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+70.8%+$7.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$31.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.