TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Cloud9, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Sentinels21c20,016$4,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,245.451,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Cloud979c12,374$9,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.057374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Sentinels22c12,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.9912850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Cloud979c10,659$8,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.6464155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Sentinels18c10,217$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.7227447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Sentinels26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60066437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Cloud979c8,954$7,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.515860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels23c8,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8103,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cloud979c7,667$6,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.21,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Cloud978c5,845$4,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.056732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Sentinels24c5,666$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.7454353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb91…7db6backed Sentinels10c3,058$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030348.8%148 W · 155 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud977c3,036$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.231,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Cloud978c2,753$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.879439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Cloud978c2,094$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.391,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Cloud979c1,929$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.1696057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Sentinels20c1,818$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5712839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Sentinels17c1,691$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4753640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Sentinels6c1,687$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed Cloud979c1,597$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.747568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Sentinels24c1,496$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.6612927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud979c1,481$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.941,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Sentinels17c1,177$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.914644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Cloud976c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Sentinels21c972.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013557%77 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed Sentinels25c840$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Cloud974c822.12$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.861,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Cloud974c819$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9426942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Sentinels39c773.01$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cloud967c753.33$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.161,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Cloud980c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15095951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Cloud977c718.23$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7925560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…000cbacked Cloud974c540.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc97e…ea6fbacked Sentinels21c508.85$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.347034.3%24 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Sentinels26c504.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels24c493.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.51,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sentinels24c457.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0148448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf357…deb6backed Cloud975c431.58$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.582962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f06…9af4backed Cloud975c429.87$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.875162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Cloud977c426.38$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3882161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Cloud978c415.62$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4414136.9%52 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf544…4f8cbacked Cloud979c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Cloud975c380.41$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5813556.3%76 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3740…f3efbacked Sentinels15c338.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519435.1%33 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Cloud978c336.17$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.964252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b5…3a14backed Cloud978c334.37$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.371275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Sentinels24c320.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.811,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Sentinels4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ba…e3f3backed Cloud974c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Sentinels27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Cloud977c294.81$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.816100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Sentinels19c285.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.931,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cloud977c284$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.122,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Sentinels17c271.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad50…81a8backed Cloud976c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.166056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Sentinels16c262.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4226453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Cloud978c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.415862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6347…6707backed Sentinels20c250.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.182045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Sentinels28c238.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6639450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Cloud980c234.76$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9557947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Sentinels23c216.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-73.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Cloud979c210.35$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1730856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Cloud979c203.67$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7710959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39bb…9e51backed Cloud974c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5218149.2%89 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked Cloud977c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c65…d60dbacked Sentinels21c199.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414055%22 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels26c195.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…8c7abacked Cloud979c188.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.691770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Sentinels27c185.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked Sentinels22c180.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5658649.8%292 W · 294 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Sentinels25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Sentinels22c174.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4813940.3%56 W · 83 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Sentinels27c167.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2333143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Cloud974c159$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.341050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Sentinels20c151$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.243148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Sentinels15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.547951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Sentinels22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cloud970c146.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0619844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5d…3c62backed Cloud978c133.85$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.331181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8668…cbc7backed Cloud976c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Cloud978c131.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.926556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cloud969c130$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.324941.4%103 W · 146 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Sentinels20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e7e…14cebacked Sentinels20c114.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c6…6d67backed Sentinels19c107.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels15c105.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Cloud979c104.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5854944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f8…a488backed Cloud978c103.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.862263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Cloud975c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cloud979c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Cloud978c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2240546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Cloud978c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2234050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Cloud977c90.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9110363.1%65 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16e…7006backed Cloud978c86.3$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8620563.4%130 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Cloud971c62.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0918451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Cloud973c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.228240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Cloud978c51.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec5…9339backed Cloud978c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…7cb7backed Cloud979c49.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sentinels21c47.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.