TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c65…d60d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$114.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$67.56
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$34.77
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$278
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$192.83
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+34.4%+$392.08
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$357.7
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37.3%+$54.61
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+118.7%+$213.65
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.9%+$80.05
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+83.8%+$25.04
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$240
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.87
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$428
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$300
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$432.6
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$39.2
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,292
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+160.6%+$32.13
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$770
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will XRP dip to $2.20 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$480.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$312
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.