Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82612bedb300adea234498cdb4754c3bd66d8f128ee51c760d4b3d7417ac11a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $833,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $929,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $833,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 923 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 47c | 201,475$95,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,514.85 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 49c | 136,331$66,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,529.05 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…43c1backed Yes | 64c | 30,000$19,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,797.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 59c | 23,126$13,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,451 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 46c | 21,522$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,941.96 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 49c | 17,110$8,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,396.02 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…462ebacked No | 35c | 13,986$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.76 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 55c | 13,671$7,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,210.93 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 51c | 12,614$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.62 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 71c | 11,424$8,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.66 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 51c | 10,836$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.24 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed Yes | 61c | 10,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 60c | 9,481$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.32 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 65c | 9,410$6,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.49 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 42c | 8,455$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.72 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5307…7621backed Yes | 64c | 7,612$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 62c | 7,571$4,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.31 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…1f46backed Yes | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +8.5wins | +0.56per pick | 30cpaid | +238%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 57c | 6,251$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.03 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 46c | 6,102$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.39 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…2ca3backed Yes | 66c | 5,564$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 66c | 5,500$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.85 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 3c | 5,020$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 66c | 4,845$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 57c | 4,229$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.56 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f0…815dbacked Yes | 51c | 4,149$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…ab56backed No | 49c | 4,103$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…527abacked No | 49c | 4,101$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…ba89backed Yes | 59c | 4,059$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…3125backed Yes | 51c | 3,943$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 36c | 3,889$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.35 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 33c | 3,861$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 55c | 3,836$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f09…2848backed Yes | 57c | 3,637$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.55 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 65c | 3,420$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.02 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e6…4fa4backed Yes | 58c | 3,398$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.78 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 45c | 3,271$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…8e19backed No | 52c | 3,200$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 62c | 3,105$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.15 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed Yes | 64c | 3,033$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.34 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +13.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,020$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.26 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 38c | 2,791$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.77 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 38c | 2,776$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.34 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0e75backed Yes | 51c | 2,749$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…6ea9backed No | 49c | 2,621$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 57c | 2,571$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 2,523$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 78c | 2,348$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.19 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 45c | 2,218$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 42c | 2,110$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 55c | 2,101$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.57 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…fb79backed Yes | 40c | 2,068$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 53c | 2,029$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.58 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…c856backed No | 49c | 2,001$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…5ee9backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -9.8wins | -0.32per pick | 67cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 51c | 1,943$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,893$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.46 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 43c | 1,870$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.12 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…8a76backed Yes | 58c | 1,727$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c8…6109backed Yes | 58c | 1,723$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked No | 46c | 1,704$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…6ffabacked No | 60c | 1,658$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 1,643$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.1 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 50c | 1,598$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…3913backed Yes | 54c | 1,566$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…2c57backed Yes | 62c | 1,556$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 15c | 1,515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 54c | 1,471$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.63 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb83…8f26backed No | 35c | 1,431$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 37c | 1,418$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.84 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 57c | 1,347$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.08 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 52c | 1,338$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.68 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 52c | 1,334$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.67 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +20.7wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c69…1019backed No | 51c | 1,300$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 46c | 1,278$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.93 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -12.7wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 55c | 1,258$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 62c | 1,246$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,232$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.28 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 33c | 1,212$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Yes | 45c | 1,200$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 63c | 1,167$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…cd6dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,166$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 56c | 1,165$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,141$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 44c | 1,136$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.79 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked No | 36c | 1,110$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 44c | 1,110$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.65 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 59c | 1,109$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.79 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 52c | 1,103$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.23 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 70c | 1,050$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…c729backed Yes | 66c | 1,040$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…89bbbacked Yes | 58c | 1,010$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.35 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 35c | 999.97$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.98 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.