Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a716766423ff8a4e3f45b3cd69fad6c05d33452e29eb15d3a990661463ade08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 26c | 62,151$16,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,162.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 36c | 47,228$16,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,971.93 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 44,968$28,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,590.87 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 26c | 38,549$9,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,883.97 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 37c | 36,110$13,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,240.69 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 21,100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 72c | 19,242$13,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 64c | 18,983$12,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.51 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 59c | 17,230$10,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,060.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 8c | 13,162$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.46 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 38c | 11,902$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 67c | 11,650$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.13 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed7…16b2backed No | 30c | 11,129$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed No | 43c | 10,500$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 72c | 9,905$7,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 33c | 8,329$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.97 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 29c | 8,000$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 64c | 7,800$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…bd2cbacked Yes | 62c | 7,107$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed Yes | 60c | 6,852$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 9c | 6,499$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 60c | 6,358$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 41c | 5,480$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.59 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 4c | 4,999$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 68c | 4,734$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 66c | 4,545$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.32 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 38c | 3,979$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,791$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 60c | 3,780$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 2,870$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.43 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…bb1dbacked No | 14c | 2,745$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,268$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…5db9backed No | 8c | 2,252$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 31c | 2,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.19 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 31c | 2,227$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.27 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 29c | 2,066$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.47 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…1077backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…209cbacked Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 29c | 1,847$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed No | 17c | 1,752$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…5820backed Yes | 63c | 1,731$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed No | 30c | 1,663$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.62 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 75c | 1,633$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.28 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Yes | 63c | 1,631$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 74c | 1,545$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,533$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes | 60c | 1,512$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 28c | 1,427$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.88 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,415$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…563dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,366$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…0434backed No | 42c | 1,354$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 23c | 1,260$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 1,241$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.3 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,206$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Yes | 70c | 1,139$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,134$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 59c | 1,129$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…3422backed Yes | 72c | 984.74$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 928.84$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 73c | 900$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.66 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes | 63c | 898.69$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 18c | 803.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 62c | 769.39$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.21 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 28c | 758$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…af37backed No | 23c | 730.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…3cf5backed Yes | 59c | 721.57$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…78e9backed No | 42c | 691.93$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Yes | 69c | 680.33$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 72c | 665.16$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 68c | 664.72$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 28c | 640.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 9c | 610.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…f803backed Yes | 60c | 605$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 62c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…c349backed Yes | 69c | 580.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 64c | 580$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…f0b3backed No | 46c | 572.19$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 62c | 560$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 71c | 555$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…d60dbacked Yes | 66c | 548.48$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…9999backed No | 25c | 546.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 2c | 529.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…c1cabacked Yes | 71c | 503.59$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…90f6backed No | 29c | 493.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 23c | 489.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 59c | 453.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…3d45backed No | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 34c | 414$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 57c | 413$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…a62ebacked Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 70c | 399.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?this page
- Will Mark Sanford win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
- Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
- Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.