TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc07b…6ee4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Franziska Sziedat vs Jenny Limbacked Franziska Sziedat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
ITF M15 Krakow Men: Michael Agwi vs Wojciech Marekbacked Wojciech Marek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cancun: Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$109.02
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Prague 2: Norbert Gombos vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Jan Kumstatbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$629
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.1
Brownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavskybacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$23.91
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$162.47
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26%+$77.96
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Lexington: Andres Martin vs Millen Hurrionbacked Millen Hurrion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.14
National Bank Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Iga Swiatekbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+297.3%+$186.18
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$138.98
Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkesbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
National Bank Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$4.03
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$61.11
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.42
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.21
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+65%+$135.14
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$46.58
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$107.18
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+782%+$131.78
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78%+$31.18
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$30.48
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$9.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+137.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$301.22
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$44.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$199.8
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$338.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$24.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.