TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Jan Kumstat

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jan Kumstatof Maxim Mrva, Jan Kumstat
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9dd…b525backed Jan Kumstat55c5,500$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.9624844%109 W · 139 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Jan Kumstat53c4,670$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.8136247%170 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Maxim Mrva16c4,479$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70041131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Maxim Mrva48c4,151$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Maxim Mrva45c3,896$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.0811,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Maxim Mrva17c3,530$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60069141.1%284 W · 407 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd403…a817backed Maxim Mrva2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40500%0 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Kumstat72c1,834$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.838,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Maxim Mrva11c1,639$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.561,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Jan Kumstat54c1,472$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.081,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Jan Kumstat52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.31,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Maxim Mrva14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044950.8%228 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Maxim Mrva42c1,350$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.024,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Jan Kumstat52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.841,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Maxim Mrva47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51732337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Maxim Mrva41c1,075$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.74,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jan Kumstat74c1,040$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.344,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c4…7242backed Maxim Mrva18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808422.6%19 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Maxim Mrva16c970.24$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15517818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Maxim Mrva43c781.19$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.333,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Jan Kumstat55c745.45$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4529652.4%155 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Maxim Mrva14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Maxim Mrva45c708.82$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9738935.7%139 W · 250 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…af79backed Maxim Mrva15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Maxim Mrva34c655.74$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.831,54551.5%795 W · 750 L+5.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maxim Mrva13c649.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.496,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Maxim Mrva45c648.82$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9796541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Maxim Mrva46c632.54$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9725042.4%106 W · 144 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Maxim Mrva47c555$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.8534655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Maxim Mrva14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7045251.5%233 W · 219 L-21.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Maxim Mrva45c460$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc196…2e6bbacked Maxim Mrva45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.512040%48 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Jan Kumstat60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16044056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Jan Kumstat54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.214555.9%81 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Maxim Mrva14c342.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813822.5%31 W · 107 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Maxim Mrva13c267.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.451,76446.8%826 W · 938 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Jan Kumstat54c258$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.685360.4%32 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…85c0backed Jan Kumstat80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Maxim Mrva46c237.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4684349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Maxim Mrva14c233.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.322,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Jan Kumstat54c222.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0528848.3%139 W · 149 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Maxim Mrva45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Maxim Mrva16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,01141.4%419 W · 592 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07b…6ee4backed Maxim Mrva14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Maxim Mrva45c211.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.231,00250.2%503 W · 499 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Maxim Mrva45c204.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.117,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Maxim Mrva14c200.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.454,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Jan Kumstat53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6826450%132 W · 132 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Maxim Mrva26c179.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81,84244.6%822 W · 1,020 L-15.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Maxim Mrva18c178.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,37144.5%610 W · 761 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Jan Kumstat56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5744359.8%265 W · 178 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Maxim Mrva15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Maxim Mrva17c155$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3564753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Maxim Mrva47c152.85$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8429643.6%129 W · 167 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Maxim Mrva45c147.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.590454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Maxim Mrva15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Maxim Mrva10c135.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.592,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Maxim Mrva18c124.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.951,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Maxim Mrva11c100.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2413531.1%42 W · 93 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Jan Kumstat54c100.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1425544.3%113 W · 142 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Jan Kumstat53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4744446.2%205 W · 239 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Maxim Mrva44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4450948.1%245 W · 264 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Kumstat69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jan Kumstat54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,89548.1%911 W · 984 L+15.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Maxim Mrva13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138810.2%9 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…3ad7backed Maxim Mrva46c95.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.049644.8%43 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Maxim Mrva15c92.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9133462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…96a8backed Jan Kumstat54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Maxim Mrva17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Jan Kumstat54c79.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.631752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Jan Kumstat56c73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1225152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Maxim Mrva32c71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.691,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Jan Kumstat54c70.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.618244%80 W · 102 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Maxim Mrva19c63.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Maxim Mrva45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7542151.1%215 W · 206 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed Maxim Mrva20c53.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7612641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Maxim Mrva46c50.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.275030%15 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Jan Kumstat55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.519556.9%111 W · 84 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Maxim Mrva44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b52…e0a0backed Maxim Mrva40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a06…248abacked Maxim Mrva47c44.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722630.8%8 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9337…f72bbacked Maxim Mrva47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x835c…c014backed Maxim Mrva46c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.576041.7%25 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Maxim Mrva45c37.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9946151.6%238 W · 223 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x308c…74e8backed Jan Kumstat69c34.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.788356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Maxim Mrva46c34.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.971,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…50d7backed Maxim Mrva47c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Maxim Mrva45c26.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.912,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Maxim Mrva45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2460341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Maxim Mrva46c24.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171,01657.7%586 W · 430 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Jan Kumstat56c23.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1973738.8%286 W · 451 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f1…c7a1backed Jan Kumstat54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Jan Kumstat76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741,01353.8%545 W · 468 L+35.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Jan Kumstat55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28d8…be44backed Jan Kumstat73c18.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.917254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Jan Kumstat69c16.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9615760.5%95 W · 62 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.