Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4786d7bf58ec9e49caa2bda28871575a9d73db5dfe87d56b5fc764e15dd5692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Francisco Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francisco Cerundolo | 21c | 45,430$9,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,545.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Alex Michelsen | 77c | 22,875$17,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.06 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.97 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 13,930$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.11 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 29c | 13,507$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Alex Michelsen | 60c | 12,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Alex Michelsen | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 10,945$8,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.9 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Alex Michelsen | 59c | 8,664$5,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.41 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Alex Michelsen | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Francisco Cerundolo | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.99 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 6,410$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 16c | 6,352$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.23 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Francisco Cerundolo | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Francisco Cerundolo | 24c | 4,965$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.83 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Michelsen | 80c | 4,918$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Alex Michelsen | 62c | 4,216$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.94 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 4,021$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.69 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Alex Michelsen | 77c | 3,648$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.88 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Francisco Cerundolo | 6c | 3,382$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.89 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 3,125$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.55 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 3,102$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex Michelsen | 59c | 3,018$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.19 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 3,000$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Alex Michelsen | 77c | 2,888$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.24 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 2,590$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.04 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 33c | 2,577$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Francisco Cerundolo | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Alex Michelsen | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Francisco Cerundolo | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 1,975$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.29 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Alex Michelsen | 77c | 1,946$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Michelsen | 67c | 1,908$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francisco Cerundolo | 21c | 1,897$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 1,500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 41c | 1,459$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 9c | 1,331$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 25c | 1,327$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.81 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 1,231$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.4 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 1,204$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.68 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,118$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Francisco Cerundolo | 26c | 1,077$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 1,026$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Alex Michelsen | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 915.31$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.97 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 857.85$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 853$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.85 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Francisco Cerundolo | 25c | 839.45$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 828.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 801.42$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 795.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Francisco Cerundolo | 27c | 785.19$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 776.85$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 756.74$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.13 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Michelsen | 64c | 656.37$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 651.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Michelsen | 70c | 622.47$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Francisco Cerundolo | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 597.36$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.53 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Alex Michelsen | 59c | 565.81$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 27c | 559.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Francisco Cerundolo | 29c | 550.74$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Alex Michelsen | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Francisco Cerundolo | 23c | 488.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 454.54$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 29c | 445.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 435$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 434$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 418.29$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Francisco Cerundolo | 28c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Alex Michelsen | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 47.7%146 W · 160 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 383.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Francisco Cerundolo | 26c | 376.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 367$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 365$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 362$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 358$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Alex Michelsen | 59c | 334.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Alex Michelsen | 59c | 334.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…17eebacked Alex Michelsen | 59c | 334.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 331.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Francisco Cerundolo | 29c | 327.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Francisco Cerundolo | 24c | 327.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Francisco Cerundolo | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs CerundoloMichelsen won
- Set 2 Winner: Michelsen vs CerundoloMichelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.