MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aef2ed87e7009c16dd67ddc8dfbe6fe60da07b5dd946c8fb2cce029dede1e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Washington Nationals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $647,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $634,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 184,209$114,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,999.42 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 180,259$68,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,498.49 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 114,905$31,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,080.79 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 59,101$37,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,036.32 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 48,196$10,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,168.93 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 39,418$9,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,378.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 32,258$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,258.06 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 69c | 27,289$18,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,484.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 35c | 22,782$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Texas Rangers | 77c | 19,300$14,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 18,766$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,943.48 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 77c | 14,783$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Texas Rangers | 79c | 14,295$11,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 13,413$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 9,448$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.38 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 8,477$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.88 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 8,197$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.78 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…240dbacked Texas Rangers | 77c | 8,018$6,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 6,632$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Texas Rangers | 80c | 6,550$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Texas Rangers | 72c | 6,250$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 5,738$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.95 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 5,122$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.16 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 4,854$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.69 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 4,850$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…7449backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 4,550$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 4,352$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 4,282$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 3,689$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.53 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 2,757$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.48 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,501$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 2,048$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 2,001$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bf27backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 1,796$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,737$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.35 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,500$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.13 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 1,475$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,403$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.07 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 1,342$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,282$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.18 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 1,224$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.04 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Texas Rangers | 66c | 1,153$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.08 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 1,084$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Washington Nationals | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 994$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 962.65$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 916.84$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.23 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 798.24$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.31 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 743.55$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 732.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 725.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.93 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 717.17$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 679$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 666.67$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 612.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 544$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.6 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 519.69$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…8d59backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 514.57$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed Washington Nationals | 20c | 463.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 460.77$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 455.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 454.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.98 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 427.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Nationals | 22c | 418.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 411.74$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 408.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 396.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Texas Rangers | 77c | 389$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 387.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 383.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 379.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 364.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 336.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 325.12$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 308.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 295.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 292.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 284.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 272.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 249.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 243.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 242.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.