MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d41b9deccfa546f9b1858a220b6cd092b111a42349fd80cb0d15369cae0faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 10,035$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.04 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 34c | 7,841$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 5,585$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 5,056$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 4,302$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.25 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 3,048$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 1,743$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.88 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,396$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…9bd5backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,331$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,103$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.57 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 818.2$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.37 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 734.7$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 704.19$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 678.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.89 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 579.75$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.62 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 558.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.84 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 484.26$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.31 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Washington Nationals | 27c | 398$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 388.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 299.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 275.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 270$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 246.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 246.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 244.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 181.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 170.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 141.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 128$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 126$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 123.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 79.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 77.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 76.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 72.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 59.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 52.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 31.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 30.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 17.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.