Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaaae54e86e498c6ef9ba12a21f09d77d657564faa3c0cfd31b8ac4dc4f66695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lloyd Harrisof Lloyd Harris, Pablo Llamas Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 8c | 19,077$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.2 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 3c | 4,663$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 35c | 4,069$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.14 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lloyd Harris | 68c | 2,894$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.15 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 8c | 2,805$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 18c | 2,153$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.74 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1c | 1,996$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 37c | 1,886$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Lloyd Harris | 68c | 1,812$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.27 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 30c | 1,492$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.08 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…c8d4backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1c | 1,321$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 16c | 1,290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 1,050$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…b417backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 10c | 979$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Lloyd Harris | 63c | 869$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 28c | 839.05$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Lloyd Harris | 80c | 609.18$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 21c | 606.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Lloyd Harris | 65c | 430.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Lloyd Harris | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 747 | 12.2%91 W · 656 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Lloyd Harris | 73c | 304.9$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 36c | 263.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 10c | 262.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 33c | 260.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Lloyd Harris | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 247.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…707ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 11c | 214.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 26c | 184.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Lloyd Harris | 65c | 176.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 9c | 176$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 19c | 156.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Lloyd Harris | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lloyd Harris | 74c | 147.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lloyd Harris | 77c | 131.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 115.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 35c | 104.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 93.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Lloyd Harris | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 327 | 54.4%178 W · 149 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Lloyd Harris | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 360 | 64.4%232 W · 128 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 26c | 71.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 68.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…1ed7backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 22c | 57.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…c9adbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 35c | 57.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Lloyd Harris | 79c | 56.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 503 | 41.9%211 W · 292 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,066 | 52.4%559 W · 507 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 66.9%89 W · 44 L | +16.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 33c | 37.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Lloyd Harris | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…c980backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 32.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 66 | 77.3%51 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Lloyd Harris | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Lloyd Harris | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Lloyd Harris | 77c | 27.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Lloyd Harris | 66c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 25.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Lloyd Harris | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Lloyd Harris | 65c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Lloyd Harris | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruizthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Harris vs RuizHarris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.