TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26eb…5369

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton 2: Oscar Weightman vs Alec Deckersbacked Alec Deckers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$129.68
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.6
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.21
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$131.89
Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.13
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Frantzen/Haase vs Arribage/Olivettibacked Arribage/Olivetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.87
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$121.88
Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Pedro Martinezbacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.7
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.45
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$492.53
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$239.91
Cancun: Dalibor Svrcina vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$185.76
Kingston: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.24
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$228.94
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.08
Kingston: Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$97.13
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.34
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.93
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.6
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$71.87
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.68
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$919.45
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$415.71
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$57.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.