Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd1b7b966c7a82b4896bc623d292d9934daec1c430e67edd39cd0ab76a3c756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Kostyukof Marta Kostyuk, Sloane Stephens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 34,223$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.85 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sloane Stephens | 10c | 6,619$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.98 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Sloane Stephens | 11c | 4,091$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 3,800$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Sloane Stephens | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sloane Stephens | 5c | 3,557$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 2,640$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sloane Stephens | 18c | 2,404$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.58 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 2,251$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.78 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Sloane Stephens | 11c | 1,855$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 1,834$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.53 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Sloane Stephens | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 1,614$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…2ee8backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 1,460$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.43 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 1,439$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Sloane Stephens | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Sloane Stephens | 26c | 1,273$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.96 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Marta Kostyuk | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Sloane Stephens | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Marta Kostyuk | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 997.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sloane Stephens | 22c | 991.66$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sloane Stephens | 13c | 990.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 899.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked Marta Kostyuk | 80c | 890$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Marta Kostyuk | 79c | 818.29$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 757$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Sloane Stephens | 6c | 741.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 721.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 719.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Marta Kostyuk | 75c | 676.86$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Marta Kostyuk | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 671.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Sloane Stephens | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Marta Kostyuk | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sloane Stephens | 21c | 637.91$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 619.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Sloane Stephens | 16c | 613.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sloane Stephens | 22c | 590.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sloane Stephens | 19c | 569.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 549.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 547.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Sloane Stephens | 20c | 521.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 490$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Sloane Stephens | 19c | 459.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Sloane Stephens | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sloane Stephens | 8c | 436.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Sloane Stephens | 7c | 398.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 390.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 383.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Sloane Stephens | 9c | 366.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked Sloane Stephens | 27c | 358.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Marta Kostyuk | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sloane Stephens | 16c | 318.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Sloane Stephens | 7c | 310.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 299.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Sloane Stephens | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 249.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 201$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…cef5backed Sloane Stephens | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 190.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sloane Stephens | 25c | 181.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sloane Stephens | 25c | 181.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 153.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 153.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Sloane Stephens | 14c | 149.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Sloane Stephens | 25c | 146.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…53c9backed Marta Kostyuk | 76c | 144.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Sloane Stephens | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Sloane Stephens | 14c | 141.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 136$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…7513backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…09f1backed Marta Kostyuk | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Sloane Stephens | 16c | 117.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sloane Stephens | 13c | 103.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Marta Kostyuk | 74c | 101.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Sloane Stephens | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Marta Kostyuk | 73c | 82.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe39…10adbacked Sloane Stephens | 15c | 77.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Sloane Stephens | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Sloane Stephens | 25c | 77.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Sloane Stephens | 20c | 56.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Marta Kostyuk | 79c | 50.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sloane Stephens | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Sloane Stephens | 20c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…013bbacked Marta Kostyuk | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Marta Kostyuk | 74c | 39.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13da…730cbacked Marta Kostyuk | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Marta Kostyuk | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephensthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs StephensKostyuk won
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs StephensKostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Stephens (+1.5)Kostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.