TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf236…2e36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst WNBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT9037.8%34 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gastonbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Mara Guthbacked Mara Guth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Ya Yi Yangbacked Ya Yi Yang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Tianhui Zhangbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.94
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Cancun: Henrique Rocha vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.24
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.81
Quebec City: Jan Choinski vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$16.77
Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Harold Mayotbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$9.37
Quebec City: Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Asschebacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.17
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.1
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Mika Petkovic vs Carlos Giraldibacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.9
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Teodora Miron vs Alessandra Mazzolabacked Teodora Miron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$15.77
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Denis Yevseyev vs Jannik Mautebacked Jannik Maute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$10.96
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Camilla Zanolini vs Marta Lombardinibacked Marta Lombardini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Berta Passola vs Valentini Grammatikopouloubacked Valentini Grammatikopoulou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50%+$5
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Ku Keon Kang vs Ammar Alhogbanibacked Ku Keon Kang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$43.98
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Eva Marie Desvignesbacked Eva Marie Desvignes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$6.45
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3930.8%12 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$18.68
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$23.65
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.62
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$17.18
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$17.16
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$17.85
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.46
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$14.65
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
San Diego Padres vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-75.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.02
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.79
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.39
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.26
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.56
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$21.47
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick28cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$9.44
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.