Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf59ab5af6974e87a7511c852181e0b22aa70c5f4846a371fee4fcdc8490ea11e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 16,240$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 54c | 6,976$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.31 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 15c | 5,777$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.17 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 44c | 3,234$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.93 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 2,265$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.37 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 1,685$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.77 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 1,313$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.7 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 47c | 816.79$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 30c | 374.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 343.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 49c | 318.37$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes | 17c | 294.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 16c | 95.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 46c | 91.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 16c | 87.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 83.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 75.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 54c | 73.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 57c | 69.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 40c | 55.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 24c | 49.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 62c | 39.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 44c | 33.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 28.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed No | 55c | 23.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Twente vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.