TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked No34c23,453$7,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,478.925135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No40c17,666$7,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,593.987936.7%29 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No37c14,986$5,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,422.4217446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes65c13,778$8,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,984.342,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes59c12,326$7,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,231.0597346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No33c11,928$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,991.735639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No37c10,997$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,896.2214637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes54c7,276$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.112,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes63c7,122$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,484.542,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c4,232$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.6456849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No56c3,589$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.916764.2%43 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c3,504$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.013,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes59c3,375$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.3479532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes59c3,228$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.4176941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77037446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes64c2,037$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.271,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c1,933$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.6327039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked No39c1,640$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.331540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed No42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Yes67c1,398$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.522045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes66c1,065$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.6543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes66c1,010$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.8896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes59c1,003$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.721540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a0…b873backed Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes67c700.24$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.858042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes66c695.14$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.4518252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes64c684$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.755054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c652.52$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.431,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes58c625.9$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.521747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes37c613.87$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9881440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No32c517.98$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.229050%45 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes67c495$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6511235.7%40 W · 72 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No37c399.8$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.411,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c321.57$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes67c313.5$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.275257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes62c300.63$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3911650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes68c271.73$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No39c266.66$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3666150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed Yes60c263.78$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd296…084dbacked Yes61c254.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.531735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No40c254.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9369448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked No35c208.57$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.571752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes51c195$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4531842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.881346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes62c186.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.737146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No39c180$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes49c175.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4127644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes67c166.53$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3765535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked No43c166.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.782157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes54c164.9$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4220244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes61c163$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4388048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c147$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c147$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a02…36b4backed Yes68c132.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes40c123.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.732436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x294f…eeabbacked Yes65c119.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes59c112$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.555056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6677855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.415828.5%45 W · 113 L-18.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No41c98.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8115352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No33c96.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.771833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No37c93.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.466358.7%37 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes51c91.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6410157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes33c83.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3433522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No35c81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.651478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6204…50a2backed No38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes65c75.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No50c72.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.995066%33 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c70.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.641,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes63c66.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.123164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed No48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1520…0ddfbacked Yes60c59.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Yes66c55.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.423348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No51c53.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0485260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Yes67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No49c52.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No64c49.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9845348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No40c48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed Yes67c44.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.543348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3313467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No36c42.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.927269.4%50 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No41c41.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.758636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No48c40.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7929470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.812633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No57c37.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0758061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed No40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.