MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ce03106f2b33dc26f03ab8019490f29e5fe515847aca2304f325acb0e201d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Athletics, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics | 44c | 19,336$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.71 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 49c | 17,830$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.51 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 16,720$9,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,691.2 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 16,243$12,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.29 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Athletics | 42c | 12,292$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,130.22 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 8,662$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.58 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 47c | 7,960$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.01 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…235cbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 7,552$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 6,964$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.29 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 45c | 6,762$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.7 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Athletics | 4c | 6,606$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 5,635$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.79 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 5,020$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.9 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics | 11c | 4,947$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.13 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics | 47c | 4,400$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.6 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 4,188$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.3 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 4,016$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.26 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 45c | 3,900$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.98 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 3,662$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.04 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 14c | 3,320$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.12 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 44c | 3,137$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.11 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 3,122$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.03 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Athletics | 44c | 2,503$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.12 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,965$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.77 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 79c | 1,862$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.89 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 988$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 44c | 914.57$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.41 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 846.49$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Athletics | 9c | 754.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 684.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.39 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Athletics | 31c | 585.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 576.27$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Athletics | 49c | 505.1$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 478.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Athletics | 23c | 413.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Athletics | 46c | 393.73$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Athletics | 4c | 359.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 358.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Athletics | 46c | 301.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Athletics | 24c | 299.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Athletics | 45c | 297.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Athletics | 45c | 295.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 291.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…fc4abacked Athletics | 44c | 290$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 44c | 280.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 279.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Athletics | 44c | 270.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Athletics | 45c | 266.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Athletics | 49c | 252.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Athletics | 40c | 244.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Athletics | 38c | 244$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 224.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 212.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Athletics | 35c | 201.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 200.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 201 | 61.2%123 W · 78 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 197$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 172.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Athletics | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…f398backed Athletics | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Athletics | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 145.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 145.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Athletics | 31c | 143.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 512 | 61.7%316 W · 196 L | +38.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…0111backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 139.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 138.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Athletics | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 127.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…e747backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Athletics | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Athletics | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Athletics | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Athletics | 47c | 107.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 44c | 107.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Athletics | 45c | 104.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Athletics | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Athletics | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 98.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Athletics | 49c | 97.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Athletics | 43c | 91.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…b51abacked Athletics | 12c | 88.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.