MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a8467d4ddb7e1084c04c8e0dc443eb605c75e14e8b8137167194147bddbda3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 204,627$100,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,031.4 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 71,523$36,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,476.98 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 36,563$18,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,915.76 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 62c | 34,482$21,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,108.91 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 23,024$11,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,337.2 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 20,422$7,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,765.13 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 19,606$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,606.88 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 17,187$8,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,366.61 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 56c | 11,875$6,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,634.93 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 11,812$6,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,778.48 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 8,978$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.61 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Under | 50c | 7,938$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 51c | 4,500$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 52c | 4,002$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.96 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 3,790$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.45 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 50c | 3,758$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.87 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 53c | 2,558$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.56 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.52 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,848$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.93 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 51c | 1,801$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.12 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 52c | 1,800$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 1,741$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.09 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.04 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 47c | 1,495$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.67 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 52c | 1,330$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.52 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 49c | 989.92$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 903$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.47 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 50c | 732.28$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 582$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Over | 60c | 559.67$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 201 | 61.2%123 W · 78 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 50c | 557.86$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 550$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 57c | 535.1$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 499.92$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 41c | 404.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 396.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 384.35$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 46c | 330$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 251.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Over | 50c | 242.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 49c | 240.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 231.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 51c | 197.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 63c | 189.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 52c | 188.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Over | 60c | 159.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 52c | 153.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 147.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 44c | 134.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 131.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…3bb9backed Under | 32c | 130.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 56c | 125.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 59c | 117.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 71c | 100.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Under | 52c | 97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 49c | 93.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 29c | 88.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 82.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 51c | 72.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 40c | 72.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 48c | 70.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 42c | 65.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…98cebacked Under | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 32c | 62.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Under | 53c | 59.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…f1c4backed Over | 49c | 56.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 58c | 54.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 52c | 47.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 65c | 46.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 31c | 45.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 50c | 44.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…6552backed Over | 48c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 58c | 35.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5this page
- Athletics vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.