Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Jan Choinski vs Taro Daniel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598c3685f4bcc64d269286a0577f2850eb856a2eda2519a368f7c142a936558a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taro Danielof Jan Choinski, Taro Daniel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Jan Choinski | 34c | 29,318$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 13,281$8,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Taro Daniel | 69c | 9,022$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.18 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Taro Daniel | 66c | 7,239$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Taro Daniel | 60c | 6,549$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Jan Choinski | 51c | 5,000$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.99 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 3,725$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.01 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Taro Daniel | 62c | 2,798$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.56 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Jan Choinski | 35c | 2,017$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Jan Choinski | 20c | 1,860$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jan Choinski | 55c | 1,793$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.46 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Jan Choinski | 22c | 1,726$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.83 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Jan Choinski | 21c | 1,645$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.93 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Jan Choinski | 51c | 1,465$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jan Choinski | 4c | 1,464$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Taro Daniel | 68c | 1,397$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.06 | 312 | 53.2%166 W · 146 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jan Choinski | 38c | 1,388$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.75 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Taro Daniel | 66c | 1,277$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Choinski | 27c | 1,246$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jan Choinski | 8c | 1,065$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jan Choinski | 46c | 1,018$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.78 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Jan Choinski | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Taro Daniel | 80c | 950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Taro Daniel | 48c | 938.05$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.19 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Taro Daniel | 44c | 927.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.54 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Jan Choinski | 41c | 880.94$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Taro Daniel | 68c | 879$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.52 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jan Choinski | 29c | 848.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.19 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Taro Daniel | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 699$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Taro Daniel | 66c | 553$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Jan Choinski | 33c | 517.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Taro Daniel | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Taro Daniel | 66c | 499.41$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Taro Daniel | 66c | 379.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Jan Choinski | 29c | 345.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 21.5%32 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jan Choinski | 35c | 309.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jan Choinski | 36c | 301.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jan Choinski | 31c | 278.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…3b5fbacked Jan Choinski | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Jan Choinski | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Jan Choinski | 5c | 226.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 28.4%57 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Jan Choinski | 30c | 224.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Taro Daniel | 44c | 211.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jan Choinski | 40c | 211$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Jan Choinski | 31c | 190.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Jan Choinski | 52c | 184$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Taro Daniel | 45c | 181.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Jan Choinski | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Taro Daniel | 65c | 156.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Taro Daniel | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Jan Choinski | 33c | 149.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Taro Daniel | 66c | 146.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Jan Choinski | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Jan Choinski | 16c | 135.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Taro Daniel | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jan Choinski | 56c | 122.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Taro Daniel | 73c | 119.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…8dc9backed Taro Daniel | 45c | 111.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jan Choinski | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Taro Daniel | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jan Choinski | 40c | 104$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Taro Daniel | 44c | 101.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Taro Daniel | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Jan Choinski | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jan Choinski | 41c | 98.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Taro Daniel | 54c | 96.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Taro Daniel | 70c | 95.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Taro Daniel | 61c | 84.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…497dbacked Taro Daniel | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Taro Daniel | 67c | 72.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Taro Daniel | 66c | 68.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a6b8backed Taro Daniel | 72c | 68.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 63.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Taro Daniel | 41c | 62.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Taro Daniel | 60c | 58.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Taro Daniel | 69c | 55.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Taro Daniel | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Jan Choinski | 40c | 51.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Taro Daniel | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Taro Daniel | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Jan Choinski | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Taro Daniel | 44c | 49.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Taro Daniel | 75c | 49.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Taro Daniel | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Taro Daniel | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Taro Daniel | 64c | 46.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jan Choinski | 32c | 45.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Taro Daniel | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Taro Daniel | 63c | 44.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Jan Choinski | 59c | 44.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Jan Choinski | 56c | 42.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Taro Daniel | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Taro Daniel | 71c | 39.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Taro Daniel | 51c | 39.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Jan Choinski | 55c | 39.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Jan Choinski | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jan Choinski | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Jan Choinski | 35c | 32.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Jan Choinski | 62c | 32.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quebec City: Jan Choinski vs Taro Danielthis page
- Choinski vs. Daniel: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Choinski vs DanielDaniel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.