TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbeec…2f66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20361.6%125 W · 78 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Jesper de Jongbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$64.26
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.21
Kingston 2: Enmanuel Munoz vs Thomas Fancuttbacked Enmanuel Munoz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Augsburg: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Iannacconebacked Federico Iannaccone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Roehampton 2: Faris Zakaria vs Alexis Gautierbacked Faris Zakaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Dimitar Kisimov vs Kristijan Juhasbacked Kristijan Juhas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Emiliana Arangobacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro Danielbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.03
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$116.15
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Li Tu vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Powbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$21.75
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Zoziya Kardavabacked Zoziya Kardava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Jan Simonsson vs Niklas Guttaubacked Niklas Guttau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$40.43
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Adrienn Nagybacked Adrienn Nagy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$37.22
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$106.19
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$46.92
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$24.35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$134.73
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$43.36
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 4 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.