Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Zoziya Kardava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x635e4d0f8a45f269ec1d20023566557854b8847c5301de1ff06bc0dfa7a648bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zoziya Kardavaof Paula Cembranos, Zoziya Kardava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Zoziya Kardava | 65c | 849.77$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.97 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Zoziya Kardava | 70c | 719$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paula Cembranos | 40c | 543.71$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Zoziya Kardava | 73c | 314.58$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paula Cembranos | 35c | 235.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paula Cembranos | 42c | 234.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Zoziya Kardava | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Zoziya Kardava | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Zoziya Kardava | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Paula Cembranos | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Zoziya Kardava | 63c | 148.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Paula Cembranos | 59c | 148.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Paula Cembranos | 23c | 144$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zoziya Kardava | 39c | 132.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Paula Cembranos | 24c | 131.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Zoziya Kardava | 49c | 115.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paula Cembranos | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Paula Cembranos | 26c | 96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Paula Cembranos | 48c | 73.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Paula Cembranos | 23c | 70.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Paula Cembranos | 45c | 67.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Paula Cembranos | 43c | 62.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Paula Cembranos | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Paula Cembranos | 35c | 55.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Paula Cembranos | 36c | 53.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Zoziya Kardava | 57c | 47.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Zoziya Kardava | 64c | 47.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Zoziya Kardava | 55c | 44.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Zoziya Kardava | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Zoziya Kardava | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zoziya Kardava | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Paula Cembranos | 56c | 32.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Paula Cembranos | 43c | 31.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Paula Cembranos | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Paula Cembranos | 60c | 26.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…7226backed Zoziya Kardava | 63c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Zoziya Kardava | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Paula Cembranos | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paula Cembranos | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Zoziya Kardava | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.