TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a97…db95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT32952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 329 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+600.6%+$791.75
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Honbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.88
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.19
US Open, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+195.8%+$27.47
US Open, Qualification WTA: Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jonesbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$124.89
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$75.66
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchibacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked David Jorda Sanchis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$190.31
US Open, Qualification WTA: Janae Preston vs Nao Hibinobacked Janae Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.96
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$12.58
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$100.27
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.47
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonbacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.14
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.98
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs August Holmgrenbacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US Open, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$238.59
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mai Hontama vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Lina Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.59
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.41
Philadelphia: Veronika Erjavec vs Julia Grabherbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Jordan Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.53
US Open, Qualification WTA: Erika Andreeva vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Erika Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kayla Day vs Julieta Parejabacked Julieta Pareja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$135.73
Showing 25 of 329 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.29
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.82
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$95.79
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.88
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.79
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.81
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.36
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.52
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$153
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$136.64
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.88
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$63
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$193.7
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.68
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$100.81
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.32
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$39.39
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38.4
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$98.47
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.33
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.49
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed MarQuel Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$110.83
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jamall Emmers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$295.08
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.68
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Thomas Petersen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.93
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.18
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.6
Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.4
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+204.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$280.8
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+304.9%+$1,001.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Miami Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$113.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.