MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6004d2c3eed914c555d1e37a79e8cce28445bc0564af72bc0be4d18b3ad07923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,214,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,030,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,214,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,028 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 268,899$115,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,626.56 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 157,171$69,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,013.4 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 134,376$75,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,119.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 119,766$46,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,119.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 83,333$40,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,833.34 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 72,671$37,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,882.17 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 60,000$27,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,600 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 41,024$19,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,691.4 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 34,587$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,486.76 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 34,171$15,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,567.83 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 33,280$16,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,307.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 32,285$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 28,035$16,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,891.46 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 27,206$12,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,915.5 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…4d76backed Tampa Bay Rays | 12c | 27,121$3,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 25,692$14,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,041.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 22,557$12,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,893.32 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 22,555$12,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,698.64 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 22,474$11,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,008.76 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 22,000$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,020 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 21,321$11,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,758.71 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 18,291$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,745.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 15,877$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.79 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 13,514$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 13,088$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,413.35 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 12,260$6,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 12,126$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 10,686$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 10,684$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.48 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 10,615$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…2068backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 10,424$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…6209backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 10,349$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 10,015$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 9,793$5,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.96 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 9,682$4,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 9,183$5,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.53 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 9,130$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 9,124$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 9,109$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.78 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 8,917$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.58 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 7,116$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.01 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 6,978$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 0c | 6,891$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 6,579$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.94 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 6,500$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.98 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 6,327$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 6,293$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.6 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…0736backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 5,751$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 5,687$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…f2ddbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 5,566$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 5,313$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 5,088$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.93 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 5,060$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fbe0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 5,000$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 4,879$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 4,517$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,404$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.48 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 4,384$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.52 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 3,905$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.37 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 3,858$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.75 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 3,793$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.38 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 3,747$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…23a1backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,701$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 3,639$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,615$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 3,529$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 3,526$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.08 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 3,492$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 3,290$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,231$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.63 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 3,099$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 3,044$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.58 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,992$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,811$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.02 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,789$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.85 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,695$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.6 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,563$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.96 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Boston Red Sox | 13c | 2,399$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.52 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,254$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.38 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,208$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 2,094$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.51 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,044$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,038$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.74 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,033$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.