MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d624180867cbe218cb6e8adba4af59ee9222938091da4d5ce86249015f902e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8144…8472backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 8,615$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 4,748$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 3,188$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 1,177$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.51 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,020$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 1,004$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 857.23$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.13 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 756.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.17 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 735$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 719.83$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.49 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 663.82$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 657.09$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 611$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.93 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 593$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.52 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 440.01$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 369.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 308.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 291.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 237.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 232$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 209.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 203.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 201.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 201.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 196.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 180$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 131.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 131.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 118.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 109.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 106.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…da36backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 102.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +103%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 61.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 59.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb3…cbafbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 54.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 53.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 51.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 49.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…436cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 45.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbe…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 45.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…a5f9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 40.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 39.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 38.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 37.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 36.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…f567backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 35.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…23fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 32.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…3de4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa2…60b9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 29.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…6d30backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 28.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…3a5cbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 28.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…e937backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 28.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 27.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0381…f76cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 26.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…1a36backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 26.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 25.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…7027backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 24.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…28cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…c09dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 24.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…4d52backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 24.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 24.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…7ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 24.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8382…962bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 24.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 66cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…8220backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8d63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 24.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 24.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…a0ecbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.