Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed8f115701f54d62aa442bb064241e8a8236193d4bdee7b43ab4e3ec3732bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 46c | 18,150$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 14,908$6,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.95 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 7,124$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.59 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 6,810$4,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,073.08 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 29c | 6,689$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.74 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 49c | 6,306$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.2 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed No | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 51c | 5,284$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 54c | 4,964$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.84 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 41c | 3,614$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.26 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 41c | 3,364$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.6 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed No | 74c | 3,284$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 73c | 2,889$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 54c | 2,719$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.3 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,569$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.66 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 24c | 2,544$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.38 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 31c | 2,507$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.02 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked No | 74c | 2,503$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 41c | 2,459$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.89 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 2,380$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.46 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 78c | 2,380$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,365$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.14 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 49c | 2,236$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.1 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 2,235$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.71 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 27c | 2,163$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.95 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 37c | 1,989$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.2 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 1,874$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.67 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 32c | 1,692$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.02 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,674$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed No | 42c | 1,667$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 28c | 1,582$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.63 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 58c | 1,545$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.17 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 41c | 1,464$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.81 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Yes | 26c | 1,391$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yes | 25c | 1,370$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Yes | 25c | 1,329$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,283$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 1,270$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.13 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,193$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.05 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 39c | 1,149$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.17 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 74c | 1,138$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,066$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 995.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.31 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 50c | 969.81$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.94 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 60c | 953.39$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 58c | 808.03$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 25c | 769$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.75 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed No | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 26c | 716.22$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 28c | 678.9$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 669.26$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yes | 55c | 662.93$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes | 15c | 660.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 26cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 49c | 528.08$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.27 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 56c | 503.35$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 493$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.89 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 475.41$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.79 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 45c | 468.49$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 466$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 36c | 435.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 75c | 401.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 42c | 401$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 391.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 389.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.06 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 381.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 45c | 378.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 56c | 356.51$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 74c | 352.84$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 50c | 352.79$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 54c | 306.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 62c | 306$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 303.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 58c | 291.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 74c | 289.56$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 278.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.33 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 40c | 261$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes | 54c | 241.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 36c | 240$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes | 54c | 229.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 226.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 50c | 214.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…4d68backed Yes | 80c | 212.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 200.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 72c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 29c | 191.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 79c | 189.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked No | 18c | 183.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 27c | 178.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 25c | 175$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 40c | 168.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.