Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c6ad19eb1dedc3c16ffe560e6c9e9dc872b5a7d48dd0ba6d4b9a25f03e52a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 8,902$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.83 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 23c | 8,131$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.06 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 2,693$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.06 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 2,620$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.98 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 2,538$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.92 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 80c | 2,415$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.92 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 23c | 1,200$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 27c | 1,029$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.83 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Yes | 20c | 972.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 870$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Yes | 20c | 854.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 649$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Yes | 20c | 579.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 502.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 24c | 455$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 391.14$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 365.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 334.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 334.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 75c | 316.14$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 313.54$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 256$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 246$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 76c | 238.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 26c | 220$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 201.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 189$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 182.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 24c | 157.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…ae34backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 106.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 23c | 101.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 69c | 93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 87.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 23c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 77c | 60.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 77c | 59.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 50.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 46.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 44.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 27c | 41.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 77c | 39.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…0781backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 23.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 77c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 15.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 73c | 15.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.