TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$558,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Yes53c181,630$96,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,988.24261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes51c90,015$45,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,628.329649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed No50c38,779$19,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,304.471250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c31,781$15,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,551.013,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c28,686$20,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,571.5698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c25,394$12,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,328.2571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No46c22,099$10,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,933.4623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No48c21,093$10,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,029.311546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No47c19,352$9,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,350.0412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes50c18,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0006939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No47c16,451$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,650.835743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No49c16,230$7,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,333.9522841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c16,183$7,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,592.471,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No52c14,206$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,861.814657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes41c11,110$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.13531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c10,709$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.5999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes17c10,679$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c10,106$4,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,277.961,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.6wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+88.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No62c9,949$6,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.4612667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes36c9,163$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,289.310840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes40c8,761$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,501.362725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No49c8,000$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1208946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No48c7,000$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6204656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes43c6,689$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.8852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No47c6,384$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.523658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c5,652$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.9197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No62c5,547$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.6919172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked No66c4,808$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c4,299$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.7570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No47c4,299$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No71c3,951$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes23c3,906$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.0810045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Yes50c3,560$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.833438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed No50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No49c3,102$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.3521547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes31c3,001$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.424035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No47c2,964$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.617949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No60c2,522$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.810273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No66c2,238$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.4818774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes50c2,192$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.011926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.92040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c1,919$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.1773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No48c1,768$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.8533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Yes9c1,700$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No49c1,619$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.691838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No30c1,614$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.123938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes50c1,585$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes54c1,551$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5432848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c1,523$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.439268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75010358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes50c1,455$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes51c1,384$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes38c1,277$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5225851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b4c…fa0cbacked No73c1,230$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No59c1,203$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.112969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed No58c1,172$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.262360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes71c1,100$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c1,086$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.4455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c1,086$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.4468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes61c1,086$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.3939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes49c1,075$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.161,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No64c1,055$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.7647240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No49c1,053$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.893751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.54751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes40c1,016$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0323548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.992560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No59c970$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No46c913.54$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.313441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes44c839.26$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4516437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed No46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked No72c715.15$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes67c702.54$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.4613952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No63c691.99$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.955446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No49c628$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.6118456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes36c624.56$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4617137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No48c598.53$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6311848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes31c573.68$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.847951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26514652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No62c494.27$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.727974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed No47c489.46$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.13043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No60c483$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.23161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No75c479$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9827058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No67c473.36$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.331,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No47c412.3$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.177659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes44c400$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c399.28$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c392.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No56c388.57$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.923265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes53c383.83$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No48c382.25$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.358454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No47c377$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.812544%11 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.