TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d47…64ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT7728.6%22 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$952.79
National Bank Open: Mariano Navone vs Arthur Filsbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Kayla Crossbacked Kayla Cross · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.9
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Jointbacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$516.45
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$374.01
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.85
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.24
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Tiago Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Livesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlekbacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Livesport Prague Open: Mai Hontama vs Lilli Taggerbacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.04
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baezbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.18
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Ilinca Amariei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.31
Athens Open: Clara Tauson vs Nao Hibinobacked Nao Hibino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+687.4%+$1,353.15
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$564
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$402
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$518.74
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$285.34
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.8
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$584
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$229.99
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK ML Viciebsk win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.2
Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$902
Panathinaikós AO vs. Paksi FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.98
HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paksi FC vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$354
Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.95
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.5
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.92
Will AC Virtus win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$684
NK Aluminij vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol: NK Aluminij O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$204.79
Will Víkingur win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.57
Will Glentoran FC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.73
Will St Joseph's FC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Europa FC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.63
Will Caernarfon Town FC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will US Mondorf-les-Bains win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.88
Will Marsaxlokk FC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.78
Will FK Dečić Tuzi win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.86
Will AC Virtus win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will Connah's Quay Nomads FC win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.11
Will FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will SP La Fiorita win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$247.5
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.4
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$390
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.98
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$208
KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.74
Will Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tre Fiori FC win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$271.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.