Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe902af242ea4313c448012462982f5d369ad1632733389dea34971df2875f6

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,396 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over	50c	4,000$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-5.9wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	3,386$1,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.65	2,101	43.6%917 W · 1,184 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over	64c	2,538$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	67c	2,367$1,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.07	63	66.7%42 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	40c	2,028$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.85	1,062	36.3%386 W · 676 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	51c	1,640$837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.76	402	53.7%216 W · 186 L	+22.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Over	64c	1,565$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.7wins	-0.34per pick	52cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	37c	1,418$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.34	704	46.3%326 W · 378 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	33c	1,146$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.29	1,141	35.4%404 W · 737 L	-15.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over	53c	999.96$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.98	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	38c	869.83$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.22	321	50.5%162 W · 159 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	36c	629.4$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.82	415	51.1%212 W · 203 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	36c	469.31$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.33	517	46.2%239 W · 278 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under	37c	399.98$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.93	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over	61c	326.84$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	62c	306$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Over	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	64c	295.03$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.82	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over	63c	254.85$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.56	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over	52c	200.63$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	36c	171.93$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.32	535	46.7%250 W · 285 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	57c	170.18$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3e…0b87backed Over	61c	165.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	63c	160$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.34	106	67%71 W · 35 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	63c	159.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over	30c	150$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	31cpaid	+71%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	61c	139.69$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.65	330	57.6%190 W · 140 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	36c	138.9$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.9	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over	44c	110.42$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under	37c	104.86$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.06	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	226	52.2%118 W · 108 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under	47c	97.87$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.87	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	51c	97.51$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.65	799	35.3%282 W · 517 L	-36.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	64c	96.87$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.04	973	32.2%313 W · 660 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	36c	86$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.04	725	48.6%352 W · 373 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	54c	80$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	137	67.2%92 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	63c	70.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.93	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over	63c	63.62$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked Over	64c	62.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	68c	61.04$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	428	50.2%215 W · 213 L	+25.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	36c	60.58$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.47	424	44.1%187 W · 237 L	-22.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	36c	59.79$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.27	162	48.1%78 W · 84 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over	62c	57.16$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over	63c	57.14$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	38c	52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.24	249	40.6%101 W · 148 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	37c	51.12$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc15a…5bd2backed Over	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	38c	46.2$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	329	55.9%184 W · 145 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fd…88dfbacked Over	63c	41.27$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	62c	41.15$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.51	358	32.7%117 W · 241 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under	52c	38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	42c	34.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	53c	32.08$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf22…8c56backed Over	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	56cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ea…37dfbacked Over	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over	62c	29.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…1999backed Under	47c	28.66$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under	52c	25.75$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.36	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under	75c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	73	63%46 W · 27 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: FK ML Viciebsk (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: FK ML Viciebsk O/U 2.5Under won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5Over won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5Under won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5Under won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 4.5Under won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 5.5Under won
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event