Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1a19aaae1dd5059d684f8c1493e55520de6ec7709d91aac9e4d6819204a27d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 70c | 1,076$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 68c | 1,064$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 832.36$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.19 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 30c | 667.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed Under | 61c | 660$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 561.35$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.93 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 38c | 560.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 39c | 555$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 62c | 538.36$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.27 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 31c | 360.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 321$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 65c | 230.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 60c | 159.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 62c | 141.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Over | 29c | 126.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 36c | 121.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 36c | 121.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 64c | 116.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…e2b9backed Over | 34c | 111.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 63c | 101.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 98.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 37c | 81.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 39c | 74.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Under | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 40c | 62.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 40c | 61.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 58.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Under | 64c | 27.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 80c | 24.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…e747backed Under | 63c | 23.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FK ML Viciebsk (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)FK ML Viciebsk won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: FK ML Viciebsk O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 1.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FK ML Viciebsk: Universitatea Craiova CS O/U 0.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.